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Red74
999517.0
87899.7
132525.4
Blue64
494629.6
7715.4
111437.2
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions419301502007464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1325
#12
25.41.3
26.027.3
Auto8.4
Teleop16.2
End0.8
blue by 11.9
37.21.2
36.735.5
Auto14.8
Teleop20.8
End1.6
Second
17.02.2
10.612.9
Auto9.7
Teleop7.1
End-0.0
blue by 12.6
29.61.2
35.934.7
Auto10.1
Teleop15.4
End4.1
Third
8789
#17
9.71.3
10.211.5
Auto4.4
Teleop4.2
End1.1
red by 4.3
771
#21
5.41.2
5.13.8
Auto2.3
Teleop2.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned65%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed