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Red67
368335.2
293512.7
415229.2
Blue43
491719.8
27084.2
205647.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions979550607080901101201306743

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.21.4
37.536.1
Auto13.7
Teleop20.5
End1.0
blue by 12.6
47.83.0
50.247.3
Auto20.0
Teleop24.2
End3.6
Second
4152
#11
29.21.4
31.830.4
Auto12.8
Teleop10.9
End5.5
red by 9.3
4917
#27
19.83.0
27.624.7
Auto6.9
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Third
2935
#14
12.71.4
18.016.7
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End0.8
red by 8.5
2708
#25
4.23.0
9.66.7
Auto1.5
Teleop2.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed75%Ensemble oddsMissed