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Red27
293512.7
136017.6
491719.8
Blue76
999618.6
96219.0
494629.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5556203040506070802776

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4917
#27
19.80.7
20.519.8
Auto6.9
Teleop10.9
End2.1
blue by 9.8
29.60.3
28.829.1
Auto10.1
Teleop15.4
End4.1
Second
1360
#15
17.60.7
18.417.6
Auto4.8
Teleop11.8
End1.1
blue by 0.9
18.60.4
17.317.7
Auto8.0
Teleop9.7
End0.5
Third
2935
#14
12.70.7
13.512.7
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End0.8
red by 3.8
9621
#26
9.00.3
8.18.4
Auto6.3
Teleop1.7
End1.0