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Red76
909827.2
85416.0
415229.2
Blue48
906220.4
591218.1
755821.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions816702040601001201407648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4152
#11
29.20.0
28.728.7
Auto12.8
Teleop10.9
End5.5
red by 7.5
7558
#18
21.60.6
22.221.6
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End1.8
Second
9098
#13
27.20.0
26.726.7
Auto11.4
Teleop12.8
End3.0
red by 6.8
9062
#10
20.40.6
21.020.4
Auto8.0
Teleop11.2
End1.2
Third
854
#20
16.00.0
15.515.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.3
End0.8
blue by 2.1
5912
#22
18.10.6
18.718.1
Auto9.1
Teleop6.5
End2.4