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Red114
447636.9
68654.3
205647.8
Blue58
111437.2
132525.4
95259.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1017305015011458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.5
47.347.7
Auto20.0
Teleop24.2
End3.6
red by 10.6
37.20.2
35.935.6
Auto14.8
Teleop20.8
End1.6
Second
36.90.5
36.436.9
Auto9.8
Teleop25.1
End2.1
red by 11.6
1325
#12
25.40.2
24.023.8
Auto8.4
Teleop16.2
End0.8
Third
6865
#23
4.30.5
3.84.3
Auto4.9
Teleop-0.8
End0.3
blue by 5.4
9525
#19
9.70.2
8.48.2
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End1.3