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Red76
497626.5
220037.5
132528.1
Blue95
205656.4
35605.4
61026.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88994060801201401607695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.50.3
31.831.5
Auto12.6
Teleop19.0
End5.9
blue by 18.9
56.40.1
50.850.9
Auto21.6
Teleop30.8
End4.0
Second
1325
#17
28.10.3
26.426.0
Auto6.9
Teleop19.3
End2.0
red by 1.1
610
#9
26.90.1
31.331.4
Auto10.4
Teleop16.1
End0.5
Third
4976
#16
26.50.3
23.022.7
Auto7.7
Teleop15.8
End3.0
red by 21.1
3560
#33
5.40.1
6.36.4
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
48%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed