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Red38
7716.3
750914.3
111425.9
Blue45
68548.8
76238.6
238626.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47340204060801003845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#13
25.90.2
21.120.9
Auto9.4
Teleop14.3
End2.2
blue by 0.2
26.00.9
22.923.8
Auto10.6
Teleop12.7
End2.7
Second
7509
#35
14.30.2
14.714.5
Auto6.0
Teleop6.5
End1.8
red by 5.5
6854
#27
8.80.9
3.74.6
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End1.7
Third
771
#29
6.30.2
5.25.0
Auto3.0
Teleop1.9
End1.4
blue by 2.3
7623
#28
8.61.4
5.46.8
Auto4.9
Teleop3.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed