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Red44
876418.9
765910.1
499212.7
Blue65
834911.4
430815.4
720020.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42393050604465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8764
#24
18.90.2
18.218.3
Auto8.0
Teleop8.4
End2.5
blue by 1.3
7200
#10
20.21.6
16.718.3
Auto7.5
Teleop10.9
End1.9
Second
4992
#15
12.70.2
9.79.9
Auto7.5
Teleop2.0
End3.3
blue by 2.7
4308
#19
15.41.6
11.713.4
Auto7.6
Teleop6.2
End1.6
Third
7659
#26
10.10.2
9.69.8
Auto1.7
Teleop6.3
End2.2
blue by 1.2
8349
#20
11.41.6
7.28.8
Auto5.2
Teleop3.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned