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Red82
540629.2
220037.5
68658.6
Blue42
132528.1
92636.8
567213.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions714502060801001208242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.51.4
30.531.8
Auto12.6
Teleop19.0
End5.9
red by 9.4
1325
#17
28.10.5
26.826.4
Auto6.9
Teleop19.3
End2.0
Second
29.21.4
23.224.6
Auto7.7
Teleop17.4
End4.1
red by 16.1
5672
#22
13.10.5
10.810.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End2.6
Third
6865
#32
8.61.4
7.69.0
Auto6.7
Teleop0.3
End1.7
red by 1.8
9263
#30
6.80.5
6.46.0
Auto2.0
Teleop4.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed