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Red59
499212.7
111425.9
68658.6
Blue62
957516.3
540629.2
876418.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4163020801005962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#13
25.91.0
20.921.9
Auto9.4
Teleop14.3
End2.2
blue by 3.4
29.20.5
23.724.2
Auto7.7
Teleop17.4
End4.1
Second
4992
#15
12.71.0
9.910.9
Auto7.5
Teleop2.0
End3.3
blue by 6.2
8764
#24
18.90.5
18.318.8
Auto8.0
Teleop8.4
End2.5
Third
6865
#32
8.61.0
9.010.0
Auto6.7
Teleop0.3
End1.7
blue by 7.7
9575
#25
16.30.5
12.613.1
Auto7.0
Teleop7.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned52%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed