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Red81
238626.0
68658.6
61026.9
Blue39
124123.6
76238.6
747511.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63512040801008139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#9
26.91.1
28.029.1
Auto10.4
Teleop16.1
End0.5
red by 3.3
23.61.2
27.626.4
Auto7.7
Teleop15.7
End0.3
Second
26.01.1
19.420.5
Auto10.6
Teleop12.7
End2.7
red by 15.1
7475
#21
11.01.2
9.88.6
Auto5.0
Teleop5.6
End0.4
Third
6865
#32
8.61.1
8.29.3
Auto6.7
Teleop0.3
End1.7
Level
7623
#28
8.62.0
9.87.8
Auto4.9
Teleop3.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned