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Red22
765910.1
68548.8
7716.3
Blue58
128516.5
92636.8
46179.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213601030506070802258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7659
#26
10.10.2
10.610.4
Auto1.7
Teleop6.3
End2.2
blue by 6.4
1285
#14
16.50.5
19.119.5
Auto5.8
Teleop8.2
End2.5
Second
6854
#27
8.80.2
4.13.9
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End1.7
blue by 0.7
4617
#31
9.50.5
8.89.2
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End0.8
Third
771
#29
6.30.2
6.05.8
Auto3.0
Teleop1.9
End1.4
blue by 0.5
9263
#30
6.80.5
3.23.7
Auto2.0
Teleop4.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
2%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed