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Red110
430815.4
205656.4
978522.4
Blue61
132528.1
111425.9
124123.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95846010012011061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.40.9
51.752.6
Auto21.6
Teleop30.8
End4.0
red by 28.3
1325
#17
28.11.4
27.426.0
Auto6.9
Teleop19.3
End2.0
Second
9785
#12
22.40.9
21.322.2
Auto6.3
Teleop13.6
End2.4
blue by 3.5
1114
#13
25.91.4
23.622.2
Auto9.4
Teleop14.3
End2.2
Third
4308
#19
15.40.9
11.612.5
Auto7.6
Teleop6.2
End1.6
blue by 8.2
23.61.4
26.224.8
Auto7.7
Teleop15.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
51%Ensemble oddsEarned33%Ensemble oddsMissed