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Red62
834911.4
238626.0
876418.9
Blue114
540629.2
316137.9
497626.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions549620408012014062114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.4
24.725.1
Auto10.6
Teleop12.7
End2.7
blue by 11.8
37.91.8
33.935.7
Auto16.2
Teleop19.3
End2.4
Second
8764
#24
18.90.4
18.719.1
Auto8.0
Teleop8.4
End2.5
blue by 10.3
29.21.8
24.726.5
Auto7.7
Teleop17.4
End4.1
Third
8349
#20
11.40.4
10.510.9
Auto5.2
Teleop3.6
End2.5
blue by 15.2
4976
#16
26.51.8
23.425.2
Auto7.7
Teleop15.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned