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Red74
720020.2
128516.5
639711.6
Blue37
61026.9
540928.4
92636.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4871204060801001207437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7200
#10
20.20.4
17.017.4
Auto7.5
Teleop10.9
End1.9
blue by 8.2
28.42.7
26.123.5
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End8.8
Second
1285
#14
16.50.4
18.619.1
Auto5.8
Teleop8.2
End2.5
blue by 10.4
610
#9DQ
26.92.7
29.927.2
Auto10.4
Teleop16.1
End0.5
Third
11.60.4
10.911.3
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End0.8
red by 4.8
9263
#30
6.82.7
5.93.2
Auto2.0
Teleop4.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed