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Red54
750914.3
957516.3
128516.5
Blue60
205656.4
46179.5
97825.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions447402060801001205460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1285
#14
16.50.6
16.417.0
Auto5.8
Teleop8.2
End2.5
blue by 39.8
56.40.5
47.246.8
Auto21.6
Teleop30.8
End4.0
Second
9575
#25
16.30.6
12.413.0
Auto7.0
Teleop7.2
End2.0
red by 6.8
4617
#31
9.50.5
10.09.5
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End0.8
Third
7509
#35
14.30.7
14.214.9
Auto6.0
Teleop6.5
End1.8
red by 9.1
9782
#18
5.20.5
5.85.3
Auto2.6
Teleop2.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed