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Red100
124123.6
61026.9
497626.5
Blue61
765910.1
720020.2
238626.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions934120608010012014010061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#9
26.91.0
29.130.1
Auto10.4
Teleop16.1
End0.5
red by 0.9
26.01.2
20.521.6
Auto10.6
Teleop12.7
End2.7
Second
4976
#16
26.51.0
22.323.4
Auto7.7
Teleop15.8
End3.0
red by 6.3
7200
#10
20.21.2
15.716.9
Auto7.5
Teleop10.9
End1.9
Third
23.61.0
26.427.4
Auto7.7
Teleop15.7
End0.3
red by 13.5
7659
#26
10.11.2
7.38.5
Auto1.7
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsEarned