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Red42
92636.8
96781.6
540629.2
Blue128
220037.5
316137.9
540928.4
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2810002040608012014016042128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.5
22.623.2
Auto7.7
Teleop17.4
End4.1
blue by 8.6
37.92.1
30.832.9
Auto16.2
Teleop19.3
End2.4
Second
9263
#30
6.80.5
5.76.2
Auto2.0
Teleop4.9
End-0.1
blue by 30.7
37.52.1
28.430.5
Auto12.6
Teleop19.0
End5.9
Third
9678
#34
1.60.9
5.86.6
Auto1.0
Teleop0.4
End0.2
blue by 26.8
28.42.1
22.824.8
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsEarned