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Red84
61026.9
133417.6
68548.8
Blue74
499212.7
750914.3
540629.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496202040801008474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#9
26.92.2
25.027.2
Auto10.4
Teleop16.1
End0.5
blue by 2.3
29.20.3
27.828.1
Auto7.7
Teleop17.4
End4.1
Second
1334
#11
17.62.2
15.717.9
Auto7.0
Teleop7.3
End3.2
red by 3.3
7509
#35
14.30.3
13.513.8
Auto6.0
Teleop6.5
End1.8
Third
6854
#27
8.82.2
5.57.7
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End1.7
blue by 3.9
4992
#15
12.70.3
12.913.3
Auto7.5
Teleop2.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsMissed