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Red74
76238.6
316137.9
97825.2
Blue43
92636.8
978522.4
68658.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5839020801001207443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.6
37.838.4
Auto16.2
Teleop19.3
End2.4
red by 15.5
9785
#12
22.40.0
22.222.2
Auto6.3
Teleop13.6
End2.4
Second
7623
#28
8.60.6
8.08.6
Auto4.9
Teleop3.0
End0.7
Level
6865
#32
8.60.0
8.68.6
Auto6.7
Teleop0.3
End1.7
Third
9782
#18
5.20.6
4.65.2
Auto2.6
Teleop2.5
End0.2
blue by 1.6
9263
#30
6.80.0
6.86.8
Auto2.0
Teleop4.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed