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Red75
111425.9
876418.9
720020.2
Blue82
128516.5
205656.4
96781.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6887204060801001201407582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#13
25.90.2
25.325.1
Auto9.4
Teleop14.3
End2.2
blue by 30.5
56.40.6
56.555.9
Auto21.6
Teleop30.8
End4.0
Second
7200
#10
20.20.2
19.819.6
Auto7.5
Teleop10.9
End1.9
red by 3.7
1285
#14
16.50.6
17.416.8
Auto5.8
Teleop8.2
End2.5
Third
8764
#24
18.90.2
18.318.1
Auto8.0
Teleop8.4
End2.5
red by 17.3
9678
#34
1.60.7
2.31.6
Auto1.0
Teleop0.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsEarned