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Red69
128516.5
430815.4
61026.9
Blue75
124123.6
133417.6
238626.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627720401001206975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#9
26.90.2
26.726.9
Auto10.4
Teleop16.1
End0.5
red by 0.9
26.00.1
26.326.2
Auto10.6
Teleop12.7
End2.7
Second
1285
#14
16.50.2
16.316.5
Auto5.8
Teleop8.2
End2.5
blue by 7.1
23.60.1
23.823.8
Auto7.7
Teleop15.7
End0.3
Third
4308
#19
15.40.2
15.215.4
Auto7.6
Teleop6.2
End1.6
blue by 2.2
1334
#11
17.60.1
17.817.7
Auto7.0
Teleop7.3
End3.2