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Red119
750914.3
205656.4
220037.5
Blue85
497626.5
540629.2
68548.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126605010015020011985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.40.3
55.756.0
Auto21.6
Teleop30.8
End4.0
red by 27.1
29.20.5
28.529.0
Auto7.7
Teleop17.4
End4.1
Second
37.50.3
36.937.1
Auto12.6
Teleop19.0
End5.9
red by 11.0
4976
#16
26.50.5
25.826.3
Auto7.7
Teleop15.8
End3.0
Third
7509
#35
14.30.3
13.714.0
Auto6.0
Teleop6.5
End1.8
red by 5.5
6854
#27
8.80.5
8.18.6
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End1.7