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Red75
111425.9
876418.9
540928.4
Blue107
316137.9
132528.1
499212.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions779120406010012014016075107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.40.1
27.928.0
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End8.8
blue by 9.5
37.90.3
38.638.9
Auto16.2
Teleop19.3
End2.4
Second
1114
#13
25.90.1
25.425.4
Auto9.4
Teleop14.3
End2.2
blue by 2.2
1325
#17
28.10.3
28.829.1
Auto6.9
Teleop19.3
End2.0
Third
8764
#24
18.90.1
18.418.5
Auto8.0
Teleop8.4
End2.5
red by 6.2
4992
#15
12.70.3
13.513.8
Auto7.5
Teleop2.0
End3.3