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Red43
86514.7
651415.0
434318.1
Blue72
270623.4
958010.1
238619.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394502060801001201401604372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4343
#14
18.10.2
11.211.4
Auto6.4
Teleop11.0
End0.7
blue by 5.3
2706
#12
23.42.3
15.217.5
Auto10.6
Teleop11.6
End1.2
Second
6514
#20
15.00.2
11.011.2
Auto6.8
Teleop6.7
End1.5
blue by 4.4
19.42.3
16.518.8
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End1.8
Third
865
#23
14.70.2
14.014.2
Auto5.4
Teleop8.1
End1.3
red by 4.6
9580
#11
10.12.3
8.410.7
Auto5.3
Teleop4.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed