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Red55
111417.4
906215.9
720015.7
Blue33
872917.4
77579.0
909826.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444302060801001205533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.41.1
17.318.4
Auto5.1
Teleop10.9
End1.3
blue by 9.2
26.60.7
17.817.1
Auto9.2
Teleop14.4
End3.1
Second
9062
#21
15.91.1
10.511.6
Auto5.3
Teleop8.5
End2.1
blue by 1.5
8729
#22
17.40.7
12.511.8
Auto8.0
Teleop7.8
End1.5
Third
7200
#19
15.71.1
12.213.3
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End2.0
red by 6.7
7757
#25
9.00.7
9.18.4
Auto2.4
Teleop5.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed