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Red92
205647.2
130516.6
415223.2
Blue28
74768.5
720015.7
495111.5
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68310204060801001209228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.22.8
27.530.3
Auto18.9
Teleop25.2
End3.1
red by 31.5
7200
#19
15.70.7
13.312.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End2.0
Second
23.22.8
14.016.8
Auto6.2
Teleop12.2
End4.8
red by 11.7
4951
#18
11.50.7
8.07.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End1.0
Third
16.62.8
15.418.2
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End1.4
red by 8.1
7476
#29
8.50.7
11.310.5
Auto6.5
Teleop1.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed