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Red36
748016.5
447620.6
91278.8
Blue65
86514.7
502426.7
77579.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444625303540505560653665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#13
20.60.4
17.517.1
Auto7.5
Teleop10.9
End2.2
blue by 6.0
26.72.6
18.721.4
Auto12.8
Teleop12.9
End0.9
Second
7480
#31
16.50.4
16.015.6
Auto6.4
Teleop10.0
End0.2
red by 1.8
865
#23
14.72.6
14.216.8
Auto5.4
Teleop8.1
End1.3
Third
9127
#24
8.80.4
6.35.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End0.9
blue by 0.3
7757
#25
9.02.6
8.411.1
Auto2.4
Teleop5.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed