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Red104
205647.2
909826.6
49409.8
Blue12
69755.3
697817.3
40156.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6432020408010010412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.24.5
30.334.7
Auto18.9
Teleop25.2
End3.1
red by 30.0
6978
#17
17.32.3
17.815.5
Auto4.6
Teleop11.4
End1.3
Second
26.64.5
17.121.6
Auto9.2
Teleop14.4
End3.1
red by 20.0
4015
#28
6.62.3
5.12.9
Auto2.8
Teleop3.1
End0.7
Third
4940
#26
9.84.5
6.410.9
Auto1.0
Teleop7.7
End1.2
red by 4.6
6975
#32
5.32.3
9.67.3
Auto4.0
Teleop0.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed