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Red66
958010.1
86514.7
447620.6
Blue48
238619.4
7714.7
415223.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52492030406070806648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#13
20.60.5
17.116.6
Auto7.5
Teleop10.9
End2.2
blue by 2.6
23.20.4
16.816.4
Auto6.2
Teleop12.2
End4.8
Second
865
#23
14.70.5
16.816.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.1
End1.3
blue by 4.6
19.40.4
21.521.1
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End1.8
Third
9580
#11
10.10.5
11.511.0
Auto5.3
Teleop4.0
End0.9
red by 5.4
771
#34
4.70.4
7.26.8
Auto1.4
Teleop2.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed