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Red46
876419.2
502426.7
74768.5
Blue112
720015.7
434318.1
205647.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47692040608010012014046112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.1
21.421.5
Auto12.8
Teleop12.9
End0.9
blue by 20.6
47.23.3
34.738.0
Auto18.9
Teleop25.2
End3.1
Second
8764
#10
19.20.1
12.913.0
Auto8.8
Teleop10.1
End0.4
red by 1.1
4343
#14
18.13.3
12.415.6
Auto6.4
Teleop11.0
End0.7
Third
7476
#29
8.50.1
10.510.7
Auto6.5
Teleop1.2
End0.8
blue by 7.2
7200
#19
15.73.3
12.615.8
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned