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Red45
69755.3
906215.9
130516.6
Blue21
434318.1
91278.8
111417.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3446102030405060704521

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.60.9
13.614.5
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End1.4
blue by 1.5
4343
#14
18.12.4
13.611.2
Auto6.4
Teleop11.0
End0.7
Second
9062
#21
15.90.9
9.610.5
Auto5.3
Teleop8.5
End2.1
blue by 1.5
17.42.4
19.717.3
Auto5.1
Teleop10.9
End1.3
Third
6975
#32
5.30.9
9.19.9
Auto4.0
Teleop0.4
End0.9
blue by 3.5
9127
#24
8.82.4
7.34.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed