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Red72
403936.2
447620.6
502426.7
Blue20
40156.6
495111.5
49409.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions622702040801007220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.22.2
19.021.2
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End1.1
red by 24.7
4951
#18
11.51.8
9.88.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End1.0
Second
26.72.2
15.317.5
Auto12.8
Teleop12.9
End0.9
red by 16.8
4940
#26
9.81.8
9.98.1
Auto1.0
Teleop7.7
End1.2
Third
4476
#13
20.62.2
17.619.9
Auto7.5
Teleop10.9
End2.2
red by 14.0
4015
#28
6.61.8
9.37.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed