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Red93
697817.3
238619.4
205647.2
Blue9
83496.6
808912.2
7714.7
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5630020406080939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.24.5
22.927.5
Auto18.9
Teleop25.2
End3.1
red by 35.0
8089
#16
12.22.3
10.78.4
Auto5.6
Teleop5.2
End1.4
Second
19.44.5
11.916.5
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End1.8
red by 12.8
8349
#30
6.62.3
10.78.4
Auto2.3
Teleop2.4
End1.9
Third
6978
#17
17.34.5
12.416.9
Auto4.6
Teleop11.4
End1.3
red by 12.6
771
#34
4.72.3
8.66.2
Auto1.4
Teleop2.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed