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Red35
698710.9
61028.0
958010.1
Blue51
720015.7
876419.2
270623.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3840303545503551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#4
28.00.8
15.915.1
Auto11.9
Teleop14.7
End1.4
red by 4.6
2706
#12
23.41.6
13.515.2
Auto10.6
Teleop11.6
End1.2
Second
6987
#27
10.90.8
9.79.0
Auto5.3
Teleop5.1
End0.6
blue by 8.3
8764
#10
19.21.6
12.213.8
Auto8.8
Teleop10.1
End0.4
Third
9580
#11
10.16.6
15.08.4
Auto5.3
Teleop4.0
End0.9
blue by 5.6
7200
#19
15.71.6
10.612.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed