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Red34
434318.1
40156.6
7714.7
Blue25
74768.5
77579.0
906215.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26400102030506070803425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4343
#14
18.11.0
15.616.6
Auto6.4
Teleop11.0
End0.7
red by 2.2
9062
#21
15.91.0
14.113.1
Auto5.3
Teleop8.5
End2.1
Second
4015
#28
6.61.0
2.43.4
Auto2.8
Teleop3.1
End0.7
blue by 2.4
7757
#25
9.01.0
9.48.4
Auto2.4
Teleop5.9
End0.7
Third
771
#34
4.71.0
6.87.9
Auto1.4
Teleop2.7
End0.6
blue by 3.8
7476
#29
8.51.0
10.79.7
Auto6.5
Teleop1.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed