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Red30
111417.4
68545.3
697817.3
Blue66
651415.0
83496.6
502426.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4442203050603066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.41.5
16.214.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.9
End1.3
blue by 9.3
26.72.1
21.523.6
Auto12.8
Teleop12.9
End0.9
Second
6978
#17
17.31.5
15.113.7
Auto4.6
Teleop11.4
End1.3
red by 2.3
6514
#20
15.02.1
12.414.5
Auto6.8
Teleop6.7
End1.5
Third
6854
#33
5.31.5
7.86.3
Auto2.9
Teleop1.4
End1.1
blue by 1.2
8349
#30
6.62.1
3.96.1
Auto2.3
Teleop2.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed