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Red57
415223.2
270623.4
497621.5
Blue56
720015.7
909826.6
748016.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555840507080905756

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2706
#12
23.40.5
18.118.6
Auto10.6
Teleop11.6
End1.2
blue by 3.2
26.60.1
21.321.1
Auto9.2
Teleop14.4
End3.1
Second
23.20.5
16.416.9
Auto6.2
Teleop12.2
End4.8
red by 6.7
7480
#31
16.50.1
15.215.0
Auto6.4
Teleop10.0
End0.2
Third
4976
#15
21.50.5
15.716.3
Auto8.0
Teleop10.8
End2.7
red by 5.8
7200
#19
15.70.1
15.815.7
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed