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Red25
7714.7
86514.7
68545.3
Blue94
495111.5
205647.2
497621.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297502040601001201402594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#23
14.70.8
17.817.0
Auto5.4
Teleop8.1
End1.3
blue by 32.5
47.21.3
39.440.7
Auto18.9
Teleop25.2
End3.1
Second
6854
#33
5.30.8
6.35.6
Auto2.9
Teleop1.4
End1.1
blue by 16.2
4976
#15
21.51.3
16.317.5
Auto8.0
Teleop10.8
End2.7
Third
771
#34
4.70.8
7.97.1
Auto1.4
Teleop2.7
End0.6
blue by 6.8
4951
#18
11.51.3
6.88.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsMissed