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Red49
91278.8
958010.1
872917.4
Blue15
77579.0
40156.6
83496.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331804060801004915

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8729
#22
17.41.0
11.812.8
Auto8.0
Teleop7.8
End1.5
red by 8.3
7757
#25
9.00.3
8.48.1
Auto2.4
Teleop5.9
End0.7
Second
9580
#11
10.11.0
10.611.6
Auto5.3
Teleop4.0
End0.9
red by 3.5
4015
#28
6.60.3
3.43.1
Auto2.8
Teleop3.1
End0.7
Third
9127
#24
8.81.0
5.76.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End0.9
red by 2.2
8349
#30
6.60.3
6.15.7
Auto2.3
Teleop2.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed