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Red74
909826.6
403936.2
130516.6
Blue49
906215.9
876419.2
698710.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions843002040601001201407449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.20.6
29.929.4
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End1.1
red by 17.0
8764
#10
19.21.7
14.516.2
Auto8.8
Teleop10.1
End0.4
Second
26.60.6
21.120.6
Auto9.2
Teleop14.4
End3.1
red by 10.7
9062
#21
15.91.7
13.114.8
Auto5.3
Teleop8.5
End2.1
Third
16.60.6
18.117.5
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End1.4
red by 5.7
6987
#27
10.91.7
6.17.8
Auto5.3
Teleop5.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed