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Red101
205647.2
77579.0
403936.2
Blue65
502426.7
69755.3
651415.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9241020608010012014010165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.22.5
40.543.0
Auto18.9
Teleop25.2
End3.1
red by 20.6
26.70.2
24.224.4
Auto12.8
Teleop12.9
End0.9
Second
36.22.5
28.330.8
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End1.1
red by 21.2
6514
#20
15.00.2
12.813.0
Auto6.8
Teleop6.7
End1.5
Third
7757
#25
9.02.5
8.110.6
Auto2.4
Teleop5.9
End0.7
red by 3.8
6975
#32
5.30.2
6.16.3
Auto4.0
Teleop0.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned