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Red29
74768.5
698710.9
872917.4
Blue78
91278.8
697817.3
61028.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32500204060801002978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8729
#22
17.40.4
15.114.7
Auto8.0
Teleop7.8
End1.5
blue by 10.7
610
#4
28.02.1
23.525.6
Auto11.9
Teleop14.7
End1.4
Second
6987
#27
10.90.4
7.36.9
Auto5.3
Teleop5.1
End0.6
blue by 6.4
6978
#17
17.32.1
12.614.7
Auto4.6
Teleop11.4
End1.3
Third
7476
#29
8.50.4
8.58.1
Auto6.5
Teleop1.2
End0.8
blue by 0.3
9127
#24
8.82.1
6.88.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed