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Red44
270623.4
83496.6
434318.1
Blue47
909826.6
40156.6
68545.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52320204060801004447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2706
#12
23.40.6
19.719.1
Auto10.6
Teleop11.6
End1.2
blue by 3.2
26.60.7
22.523.2
Auto9.2
Teleop14.4
End3.1
Second
4343
#14
18.10.6
16.816.2
Auto6.4
Teleop11.0
End0.7
red by 11.4
4015
#28
6.60.7
4.85.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.1
End0.7
Third
8349
#30
6.60.6
8.17.5
Auto2.3
Teleop2.4
End1.9
red by 1.2
6854
#33
5.30.7
4.24.8
Auto2.9
Teleop1.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed