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Red30
69755.3
748016.5
86514.7
Blue57
130516.6
111417.4
876419.2
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435620801003057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7480
#31
16.51.0
17.516.5
Auto6.4
Teleop10.0
End0.2
blue by 2.7
8764
#10
19.20.2
16.916.6
Auto8.8
Teleop10.1
End0.4
Second
865
#23
14.71.1
16.515.5
Auto5.4
Teleop8.1
End1.3
blue by 2.6
17.40.2
16.316.0
Auto5.1
Teleop10.9
End1.3
Third
6975
#32
5.31.0
6.35.3
Auto4.0
Teleop0.4
End0.9
blue by 11.3
16.60.2
16.115.9
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed65%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed