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Red37
91278.8
238619.4
74768.5
Blue86
698710.9
403936.2
697817.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions396120801003786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.40.1
21.221.1
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End1.8
blue by 16.8
36.23.2
30.834.0
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End1.1
Second
9127
#24
8.80.1
8.88.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End0.9
blue by 8.5
6978
#17
17.33.2
14.717.9
Auto4.6
Teleop11.4
End1.3
Third
7476
#29
8.50.1
8.18.0
Auto6.5
Teleop1.2
End0.8
blue by 2.4
6987
#27
10.93.2
6.910.1
Auto5.3
Teleop5.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed