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Red44
906215.9
434318.1
958010.1
Blue77
447620.6
83496.6
205647.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions438320601001201404477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4343
#14
18.10.9
16.215.3
Auto6.4
Teleop11.0
End0.7
blue by 29.2
47.20.7
43.043.7
Auto18.9
Teleop25.2
End3.1
Second
9062
#21
15.90.9
16.916.0
Auto5.3
Teleop8.5
End2.1
blue by 4.7
4476
#13
20.60.7
19.520.1
Auto7.5
Teleop10.9
End2.2
Third
9580
#11
10.10.9
10.49.5
Auto5.3
Teleop4.0
End0.9
red by 3.6
8349
#30
6.60.7
7.58.2
Auto2.3
Teleop2.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed57%Ensemble oddsMissed