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Red56
68545.3
651415.0
720015.7
Blue37
808912.2
86514.7
49409.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37410102030506070805637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7200
#19
15.70.6
16.016.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End2.0
red by 1.0
865
#23
14.70.0
15.515.5
Auto5.4
Teleop8.1
End1.3
Second
6514
#20
15.00.6
13.013.6
Auto6.8
Teleop6.7
End1.5
red by 2.8
8089
#16
12.20.0
10.710.7
Auto5.6
Teleop5.2
End1.4
Third
6854
#33
5.30.6
4.85.4
Auto2.9
Teleop1.4
End1.1
blue by 4.5
4940
#26
9.80.0
10.810.8
Auto1.0
Teleop7.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed