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Red58
697817.3
958010.1
495111.5
Blue75
403936.2
74768.5
270623.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3774020601001205875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6978
#17
17.30.7
17.918.7
Auto4.6
Teleop11.4
End1.3
blue by 18.9
36.21.1
34.035.1
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End1.1
Second
4951
#18
11.50.7
10.511.2
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End1.0
blue by 11.8
2706
#12
23.41.1
20.721.8
Auto10.6
Teleop11.6
End1.2
Third
9580
#11
10.10.7
9.510.2
Auto5.3
Teleop4.0
End0.9
red by 1.7
7476
#29
8.51.1
8.09.1
Auto6.5
Teleop1.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed