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Red36
497621.5
748016.5
7714.7
Blue49
77579.0
698710.9
434318.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483702060803649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4976
#15
21.50.6
19.919.3
Auto8.0
Teleop10.8
End2.7
red by 3.5
4343
#14
18.10.2
15.315.5
Auto6.4
Teleop11.0
End0.7
Second
7480
#31
16.50.6
16.515.9
Auto6.4
Teleop10.0
End0.2
red by 5.6
6987
#27
10.90.2
10.110.3
Auto5.3
Teleop5.1
End0.6
Third
771
#34
4.70.6
6.25.6
Auto1.4
Teleop2.7
End0.6
blue by 4.3
7757
#25
9.00.2
9.89.9
Auto2.4
Teleop5.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned